Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (123-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 41 | 9-23 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 37 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Terence Davis * | 24 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 32 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 42 | 7-19 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 39 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 29 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 13-25 | 2-8 | 11-11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 32 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Khem Birch | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter