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2022-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +11 (135-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 6-15 1-5 6-7 3 16 0 0 19 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 37 6-14 4-9 9-10 6 3 0 0 25 - -
AJ Griffin * 27 6-9 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 15 - -
Clint Capela * 22 8-10 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 16 - -
Jalen Johnson * 18 4-9 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 4 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 6-14 3-9 2-2 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 4-8 0-0 7-8 11 0 1 0 15 - -
Justin Holiday 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 - -
Trent Forrest 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Jarrett Culver 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 7-17 3-6 7-8 3 4 0 1 24 - -
Paolo Banchero * 33 6-16 2-7 6-7 6 6 2 1 20 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 8-14 0-0 0-0 7 9 4 1 16 - -
Moritz Wagner * 30 7-9 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 17 - -
Bol Bol * 27 7-13 3-4 4-5 7 2 1 1 21 - -
Terrence Ross 24 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Cole Anthony 20 3-7 0-3 7-7 5 6 0 0 13 - -
Mo Bamba 17 4-6 2-4 1-3 7 0 0 2 11 - -
Admiral Schofield 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Kevon Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter