Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (125-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 33 | 8-22 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 11-19 | 5-10 | 11-11 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 24 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 36 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter