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2022-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Margin 72.3% 27.7% -5.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (134-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 41 8-10 2-3 1-2 11 1 0 2 19 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 37 8-19 3-9 5-6 4 4 0 0 24 - -
Jalen Duren * 36 2-8 0-0 3-4 19 2 0 3 7 - -
Killian Hayes * 34 9-19 5-11 2-5 7 8 0 0 25 - -
Jaden Ivey * 28 5-9 0-1 3-4 3 4 0 0 13 - -
Alec Burks 26 8-12 4-6 7-8 3 3 0 1 27 - -
Kevin Knox II 19 4-6 3-5 6-6 1 1 0 2 17 - -
Saddiq Bey 17 2-6 1-4 0-1 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Cory Joseph 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Marvin Bagley III 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 41 8-28 2-13 7-8 5 2 1 1 25 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 39 10-27 5-13 3-5 8 1 3 1 28 - -
LaMelo Ball * 34 9-18 5-13 0-0 1 11 0 0 23 - -
Mason Plumlee * 34 5-8 0-0 2-4 18 3 0 0 12 - -
P.J. Washington * 30 5-17 1-7 2-2 5 1 2 2 13 - -
Jalen McDaniels 35 7-9 3-3 4-4 6 1 1 1 21 - -
Nick Richards 18 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Theo Maledon 16 3-7 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Kai Jones 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter