Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (134-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stewart * | 41 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 37 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 23 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 34 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 41 | 8-28 | 2-13 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 39 | 10-27 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 34 | 9-18 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 35 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Kai Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter