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2022-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 77.9% 22.1% -6.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% -
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (118-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 43 15-29 5-10 9-10 9 6 0 1 44 - -
Jaylen Brown * 42 10-21 3-7 2-4 15 5 3 0 25 - -
Marcus Smart * 42 7-17 4-11 0-0 5 6 2 0 18 - -
Derrick White * 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Blake Griffin * 23 3-11 0-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 30 3-6 3-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 24 1-3 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 1 2 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 - -
Sam Hauser 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 46 13-24 0-2 11-15 12 3 1 1 37 - -
LeBron James * 42 14-25 3-11 2-4 9 9 2 1 33 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 23 3-6 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Schroder * 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Beverley * 18 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Austin Reaves 35 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 5 2 2 4 - -
Russell Westbrook 34 7-19 1-6 5-6 14 5 1 4 20 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Kendrick Nunn 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Thomas Bryant 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter