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2022-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (111-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 4-24 2-10 8-8 3 3 2 0 18 2 -
Chris Paul * 37 5-17 2-10 4-4 6 7 2 1 16 15 -
Landry Shamet * 31 5-13 3-11 0-0 4 3 2 0 13 9 -
Torrey Craig * 29 2-9 1-5 2-2 12 2 3 0 7 15 -
Deandre Ayton * 14 2-10 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 -2 -
Damion Lee 22 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 1 -
Bismack Biyombo 21 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 3 7 15 -
Josh Okogie 20 4-8 1-3 1-1 6 3 1 2 10 14 -
Jock Landale 11 3-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Cameron Payne 8 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 9 7 -
Ish Wainright 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 37 7-17 1-7 11-12 7 4 0 0 26 20 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 33 6-16 2-8 4-5 5 4 2 0 18 13 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 29 4-5 3-3 3-4 8 0 0 1 14 18 -
Alperen Sengun * 28 4-10 0-0 2-2 16 2 0 1 10 19 -
Eric Gordon * 22 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 1 0 2 10 6 -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 6 -
Tari Eason 18 3-8 0-3 4-4 7 0 1 2 10 12 -
Garrison Mathews 16 2-5 1-4 3-3 4 1 0 0 8 8 -
Daishen Nix 14 2-3 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 8 11 -
Usman Garuba 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 0 9 -
Bruno Fernando 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 6 -

* = starter