Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 27 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 26 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 29 | 9-26 | 1-6 | 11-17 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 27 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 32 | 11-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter