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2022-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +20 (123-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 30 4-12 1-6 2-2 8 2 1 0 11 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 8-10 0-0 6-7 10 5 0 0 22 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 29 5-15 1-7 2-4 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Huerter * 23 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Keegan Murray * 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 - -
Malik Monk 23 4-10 1-5 7-7 3 4 1 0 16 - -
Davion Mitchell 18 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 2 2 - -
Trey Lyles 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Terence Davis 13 5-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 12 - -
Chimezie Metu 9 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
KZ Okpala 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Richaun Holmes 6 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Keon Ellis 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 35 7-13 4-7 3-6 7 15 5 0 21 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 9-17 2-7 1-1 7 9 1 1 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 10-16 0-1 11-13 7 2 1 1 31 - -
P.J. Tucker * 23 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 22 5-7 3-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Shake Milton 32 5-10 1-3 3-3 0 3 1 0 14 - -
Georges Niang 25 4-8 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-3 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 - -
Jaden Springer 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Paul Reed 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter