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2022-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 67.4% 32.6% -4.0 (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% -
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% -

Actual: LA Clippers +20 (113-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 7-20 2-8 4-4 11 4 1 0 20 16 -
Marcus Smart * 31 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 3 2 -
Jaylen Brown * 29 9-15 1-6 2-6 4 2 2 0 21 14 -
Blake Griffin * 20 1-3 0-2 3-5 6 5 0 0 5 13 -
Derrick White * 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Malcolm Brogdon 31 6-12 2-6 4-4 4 6 0 1 18 17 -
Grant Williams 29 4-7 1-3 5-7 4 2 2 0 14 15 -
Luke Kornet 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 4 7 -
Sam Hauser 13 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -
Payton Pritchard 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
Noah Vonleh 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
Justin Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 35 8-22 2-5 8-9 6 3 1 0 26 14 -
Kawhi Leonard * 29 10-12 2-3 3-6 9 6 1 0 25 29 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 26 6-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 13 7 -
Reggie Jackson * 26 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 7 5 -
Ivica Zubac * 17 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
Nicolas Batum 26 2-2 1-1 2-2 7 0 2 0 7 14 -
Luke Kennard 25 5-9 2-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 12 6 -
Terance Mann 20 4-9 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 9 8 -
John Wall 18 3-10 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 6 5 -
Amir Coffey 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Moses Brown 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Brandon Boston Jr. 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Moussa Diabate 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter