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2022-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (25.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +21 (133-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 33 6-16 3-3 2-6 2 3 2 0 17 - -
Rudy Gobert * 31 8-13 0-0 0-1 20 2 1 0 16 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 9-19 3-10 2-3 3 8 1 1 23 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 - -
Kyle Anderson * 27 3-8 1-1 2-2 1 5 2 0 9 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 7-12 0-2 3-5 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Naz Reid 18 4-4 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Nathan Knight 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Matt Ryan 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Josh Minott 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 33 5-13 2-8 0-0 4 6 0 0 12 - -
Jerami Grant * 31 7-12 3-6 7-7 3 2 0 1 24 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 13-21 11-17 1-1 2 3 0 0 38 - -
Josh Hart * 27 3-7 2-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 4-8 0-2 6-9 16 4 1 0 14 - -
Justise Winslow 30 4-8 1-3 0-0 6 10 1 0 9 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 20 7-12 0-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 14 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 6 - -
Trendon Watford 13 1-2 1-1 2-4 4 2 0 1 5 - -
Keon Johnson 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter