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2022-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 74.7% 25.3% -6.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% -
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Log Adjusted 85.5% 14.5% -
Points Off/Def 75.4% 24.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 39 7-22 1-6 3-3 7 9 1 0 18 - -
Evan Mobley * 37 7-12 0-0 3-4 13 4 0 1 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 36 7-11 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 3 16 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 12-24 2-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 28 - -
Lamar Stevens * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Caris LeVert 29 9-13 1-4 4-4 2 3 2 0 23 - -
Isaac Okoro 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 3 0 - -
Kevin Love 13 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 33 8-25 1-6 4-5 6 2 0 1 21 - -
Tre Jones * 28 6-11 0-0 3-3 4 5 2 0 15 - -
Zach Collins * 27 4-7 0-0 1-2 10 5 0 0 9 - -
Romeo Langford * 24 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 1 3 - -
Isaiah Roby * 14 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Josh Richardson 27 9-13 5-7 1-1 1 2 0 0 24 - -
Devin Vassell 27 7-14 2-6 0-0 2 3 3 0 16 - -
Charles Bassey 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 6 - -
Jeremy Sochan 18 1-4 0-2 0-2 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 17 3-6 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter