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2022-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +25 (128-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Forrest * 29 2-9 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 - -
Jalen Johnson * 28 4-9 2-5 4-5 9 3 1 0 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 28 2-8 0-0 2-4 10 1 2 1 6 - -
AJ Griffin * 24 5-12 2-5 1-2 3 1 1 0 13 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 20 7-16 2-5 3-3 1 0 1 0 19 - -
Aaron Holiday 29 5-13 1-4 4-4 3 6 4 0 15 - -
Frank Kaminsky 19 4-9 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Justin Holiday 18 2-7 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Vit Krejci 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Jarrett Culver 12 3-9 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Tyrese Martin 12 1-7 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 29 6-11 5-7 1-1 5 4 0 0 18 - -
Tyus Jones * 25 8-14 4-7 2-3 1 11 3 0 22 - -
John Konchar * 23 4-5 1-1 0-0 7 5 1 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke * 23 5-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 1 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 6-11 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 8 15 - -
Kennedy Chandler 22 4-5 0-1 0-0 6 7 1 1 8 - -
David Roddy 21 5-9 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Santi Aldama 20 4-8 2-5 6-7 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Xavier Tillman 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 10 - -
Ziaire Williams 20 1-7 0-4 2-2 3 2 1 1 4 - -
Jake LaRavia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter