Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 28 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 12-21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter