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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (123-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 45 10-21 0-0 14-15 13 8 0 0 34 34 -
Zach LaVine * 39 9-16 1-5 2-3 3 3 0 0 21 11 -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 6-11 1-2 0-0 8 1 2 0 13 13 -
Patrick Williams * 25 4-10 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 2 8 8 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 3 -
Coby White 31 4-12 4-9 0-0 6 4 1 0 12 11 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 25 6-7 1-2 1-2 2 2 2 3 14 16 -
Goran Dragic 17 1-7 0-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 2 1 -
Andre Drummond 16 6-9 0-0 2-3 9 0 5 0 14 19 -
Javonte Green 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 42 5-18 2-8 7-9 2 14 0 0 19 17 -
AJ Griffin * 40 7-17 2-11 1-1 2 2 0 1 17 5 -
Trent Forrest * 33 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 2 7 8 -
Clint Capela * 31 7-9 0-0 1-1 14 1 1 1 15 23 -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 7-13 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 16 8 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 35 10-22 6-14 2-2 7 5 0 1 28 19 -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 6-8 0-0 2-3 9 1 1 0 14 17 -
Jalen Johnson 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 -
Aaron Holiday 13 2-2 1-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Justin Holiday 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter