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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +12 (111-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 43 8-18 3-8 5-6 3 1 1 0 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 42 4-11 2-7 10-12 4 7 4 0 20 - -
Scottie Barnes * 41 3-13 1-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 6-16 0-4 7-9 6 7 1 1 19 - -
Christian Koloko * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 2 - -
Chris Boucher 27 3-8 0-1 6-6 5 0 1 2 12 - -
Khem Birch 18 4-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 - -
Dalano Banton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 36 6-14 2-5 6-8 12 5 1 1 20 - -
Franz Wagner * 36 6-14 3-5 8-10 3 4 0 1 23 - -
Markelle Fultz * 23 2-5 0-2 3-4 1 4 0 0 7 - -
Bol Bol * 22 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 3 6 - -
Moritz Wagner * 20 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Cole Anthony 29 5-9 1-3 3-3 6 6 1 0 14 - -
Terrence Ross 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 23 6-6 2-2 4-5 9 1 0 2 18 - -
Kevon Harris 16 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Admiral Schofield 8 1-4 0-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter