Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 14-24 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 28 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 12-22 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 25 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 25 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter