🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 ✗ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (124-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 10-20 4-8 2-4 6 7 2 0 26 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 39 9-15 4-5 2-3 1 3 3 0 24 - -
Kyle Anderson * 39 5-9 0-0 4-4 7 6 1 0 14 - -
Rudy Gobert * 36 9-11 0-0 6-9 9 2 4 1 24 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 3-7 2-5 1-1 0 2 0 1 9 - -
Austin Rivers 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylen Nowell 16 3-8 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Naz Reid 14 6-12 0-2 3-3 3 0 1 2 15 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 41 9-22 3-11 15-15 3 8 2 0 36 - -
Jerami Grant * 39 6-13 2-5 3-3 7 2 0 0 17 - -
Anfernee Simons * 34 13-22 5-10 0-0 3 1 0 0 31 - -
Josh Hart * 32 4-8 3-3 0-0 8 4 2 0 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 3-6 0-2 2-4 15 2 0 2 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 20 2-6 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 20 5-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 10 - -
Justise Winslow 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Trendon Watford 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 - -

* = starter