Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 39 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 33 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 13-19 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 11-20 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter