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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.0% 49.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% -
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (123-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 6-21 2-9 4-7 7 2 3 1 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 13-23 3-9 2-2 9 3 1 0 31 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 4-12 2-6 3-4 4 5 3 2 13 - -
Grant Williams * 31 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Blake Griffin * 20 4-5 1-1 4-5 7 1 0 0 13 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 22 6-10 2-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 16 - -
Derrick White 22 1-7 0-4 4-6 2 0 0 3 6 - -
Sam Hauser 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Justin Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 12-21 6-11 2-2 6 7 0 1 32 - -
Draymond Green * 35 5-10 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Klay Thompson * 35 14-26 4-11 2-2 5 2 2 1 34 - -
Jordan Poole * 32 5-16 1-9 9-10 3 4 0 1 20 - -
Kevon Looney * 26 3-4 0-0 1-2 15 3 0 2 7 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 21 6-9 1-2 1-2 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 8 3 1 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Lamb 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
JaMychal Green 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter