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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 โœ“ (27.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +29 (144-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 29 9-15 3-6 6-7 4 8 1 0 27 - -
Christian Wood * 27 8-15 3-7 2-3 9 2 0 1 21 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 21 4-13 2-10 2-2 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Powell * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Ntilikina 25 0-7 0-4 0-0 5 6 0 1 0 - -
Reggie Bullock 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Jaden Hardy 22 5-13 0-4 5-5 1 1 1 1 15 - -
Kemba Walker 19 2-5 0-2 4-5 2 5 0 1 8 - -
JaVale McGee 17 8-10 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 18 - -
Davis Bertans 11 1-4 1-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Theo Pinson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 31 9-13 1-2 9-9 9 5 0 0 28 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 6-10 4-5 0-0 3 3 0 2 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 8-11 2-3 2-2 8 4 1 1 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 26 7-11 2-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 16 - -
Alex Caruso * 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 31 6-9 3-5 2-3 4 2 1 0 17 - -
Coby White 26 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 7 1 2 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 6-10 4-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 16 - -
Andre Drummond 18 4-5 0-0 1-5 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Goran Dragic 15 5-7 2-3 2-3 0 3 1 0 14 - -
Tony Bradley 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter