Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (27.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +29 (144-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 25 | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 27 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 21 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 25 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 22 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 30 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 26 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 26 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 31 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Coby White | 26 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 20 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 15 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Dalen Terry | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter