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2022-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 ✗ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✓
Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 38 7-16 1-4 2-2 13 6 1 1 17 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski * 34 6-14 3-3 1-2 14 5 0 3 16 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 31 7-13 0-2 9-9 2 3 2 0 23 - -
Luguentz Dort * 21 3-10 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Jalen Williams 29 4-6 0-2 3-6 0 3 2 0 11 - -
Darius Bazley 25 3-7 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 19 4-7 3-6 1-1 3 1 2 0 12 - -
Tre Mann 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Mike Muscala 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Wiggins 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 38 9-22 4-9 0-0 4 4 0 0 22 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 8-14 2-3 3-5 12 3 0 0 21 - -
Jarrett Allen * 36 7-9 0-0 7-13 11 1 1 1 21 - -
Darius Garland * 33 3-9 1-4 6-6 3 8 2 0 13 - -
Lamar Stevens * 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 7 1 3 1 10 - -
Cedi Osman 25 3-10 0-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaac Okoro 18 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 2 8 - -
Raul Neto 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Robin Lopez 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter