Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (105-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 10-20 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 13-28 | 3-11 | 4-10 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 23 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter