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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +11 (128-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 39 11-15 0-0 3-5 14 2 1 1 25 - -
Devin Booker * 36 5-17 2-8 2-4 2 7 1 0 14 - -
Mikal Bridges * 35 4-12 3-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 11 - -
Chris Paul * 34 7-14 6-9 4-4 8 7 0 0 24 - -
Torrey Craig * 30 5-9 4-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 18 4-6 4-6 0-0 0 0 0 1 12 - -
Cameron Payne 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jock Landale 11 4-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 9 - -
Landry Shamet 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 36 13-17 0-0 9-12 7 4 1 0 35 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 7-16 1-6 3-3 7 5 1 0 18 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 4-16 0-3 4-4 10 0 0 0 12 - -
Trey Murphy III * 27 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Dyson Daniels * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Naji Marshall 31 5-11 2-6 2-3 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Jose Alvarado 25 6-10 3-5 5-7 1 2 3 0 20 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 7-10 0-0 3-4 9 5 4 1 17 - -
Devonte' Graham 14 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 5 - -

* = starter