Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 22 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 20 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 16 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 6-20 | 0-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 22 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter