Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 35 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 11-13 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 33 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 12-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 11 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter