Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -1 (120-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 8-21 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 14-25 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 25 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 12-22 | 9-17 | 7-7 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 31 | 9-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter