Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (118-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 5-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 18 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 14-21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 34 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter