Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 33 | 6-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 32 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Wall | 20 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 40 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dru Smith * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter