Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -27 (98-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 29 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 28 | 9-24 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 22 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 26 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 19 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 24 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 23 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter