Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.3% | 29.7% | -4.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 31 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 21 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 24 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 21 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter