Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 27 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter