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2022-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 36 9-11 1-1 4-4 12 7 1 0 23 32 -
Harrison Barnes * 32 6-11 2-6 6-7 3 2 0 0 20 14 -
Kevin Huerter * 32 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 13 10 -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 5-16 1-6 4-4 2 2 0 1 15 4 -
Keegan Murray * 27 6-10 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 2 15 13 -
Malik Monk 28 7-19 1-7 1-1 6 1 0 0 16 4 -
Davion Mitchell 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
Chimezie Metu 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
KZ Okpala 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trey Lyles 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Matthew Dellavedova 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Richaun Holmes 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Keon Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Len 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 34 6-15 2-7 3-3 9 3 0 1 17 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 34 12-23 2-4 5-6 5 6 0 0 31 19 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 12-19 2-2 9-10 6 7 1 0 35 30 -
Khris Middleton * 29 5-11 2-5 2-2 6 6 1 0 14 16 -
Grayson Allen * 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 10 13 -
Pat Connaughton 24 2-7 2-6 0-1 6 0 0 1 6 6 -
Bobby Portis 19 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 7 8 -
Jevon Carter 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 9 -
George Hill 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 4 -
AJ Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter