Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.3% | 24.7% | -6.1 | ✗ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (123-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 17-19 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 23 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 9-19 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter