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2022-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (115-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 4-8 0-1 2-3 5 6 4 0 10 - -
Monte Morris * 37 7-13 2-6 1-1 2 8 0 1 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 37 8-18 2-5 3-4 5 1 2 0 21 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 8-17 0-6 12-16 9 4 2 2 28 - -
Corey Kispert * 30 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Will Barton 18 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Daniel Gafford 17 4-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 2 10 - -
Jordan Goodwin 12 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Taj Gibson 10 2-3 1-2 0-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 11-21 0-1 5-6 7 4 0 1 27 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 10-16 3-5 2-3 11 3 2 2 25 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 8-19 5-9 4-4 7 5 2 0 25 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 2-4 0-1 1-1 4 9 4 0 5 - -
Patrick Williams * 29 5-8 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 19 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Coby White 17 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Goran Dragic 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Andre Drummond 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -

* = starter