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2022-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 39.0% 61.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Bryant * 31 3-5 0-1 10-10 5 2 2 2 16 - -
Austin Reaves * 28 4-12 1-6 1-1 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Schroder * 27 5-10 1-4 7-7 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 25 5-16 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Russell Westbrook 28 5-13 1-4 5-7 9 4 1 0 16 - -
Damian Jones 25 4-5 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 23 2-6 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Kendrick Nunn 21 6-13 1-5 2-2 2 1 3 0 15 - -
Max Christie 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 34 8-19 2-8 5-6 6 1 1 1 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 10-20 1-4 4-5 10 7 2 0 25 - -
Scottie Barnes * 31 6-12 1-2 0-0 17 4 0 0 13 - -
Fred VanVleet * 29 8-20 3-12 6-6 4 7 0 0 25 - -
Christian Koloko * 21 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 4 1 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 33 6-15 2-9 4-5 2 0 2 0 18 - -
Chris Boucher 24 7-11 2-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 16 - -
Thaddeus Young 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 4 3 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter