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2022-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 ✓ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +24 (113-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 30 9-20 0-4 1-2 4 6 0 0 19 - -
AJ Griffin * 28 3-13 1-8 2-2 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Clint Capela * 21 6-7 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 1 13 - -
Jalen Johnson * 13 2-2 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Dejounte Murray * 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 29 2-7 1-5 2-2 4 4 0 2 7 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 2-5 0-1 6-8 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 3-16 0-10 3-3 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Justin Holiday 23 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 5 - -
Jarrett Culver 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Vit Krejci 14 2-3 2-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Frank Kaminsky 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 4-13 2-6 5-7 7 0 1 0 15 - -
Julius Randle * 33 10-19 6-12 8-8 17 5 1 0 34 - -
Quentin Grimes * 31 8-11 5-7 2-2 4 2 0 2 23 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 25 4-4 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Brunson * 25 2-14 0-2 4-4 4 6 2 0 8 - -
Miles McBride 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 2-8 1-2 3-3 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Obi Toppin 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter