Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 5-17 | 4-9 | 8-9 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 9-12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 26 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 30 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter