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2022-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - ✓
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (116-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 8-17 2-6 3-4 17 4 1 1 21 - -
Dennis Schroder * 26 6-13 1-6 3-3 1 0 0 0 16 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 24 3-10 0-5 1-1 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Patrick Beverley * 21 1-5 1-5 2-2 1 2 1 1 5 - -
Anthony Davis * 8 0-0 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 0 1 - -
Thomas Bryant 28 8-12 1-4 2-2 9 1 0 0 19 - -
Russell Westbrook 26 6-13 0-1 4-5 3 3 0 2 16 - -
Austin Reaves 25 3-9 0-4 2-2 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 5 - -
Damian Jones 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Kendrick Nunn 6 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 39 17-27 4-8 5-5 6 5 4 0 43 - -
Jarrett Allen * 38 11-14 0-0 2-4 11 1 3 1 24 - -
Darius Garland * 37 8-18 1-6 4-4 3 11 1 0 21 - -
Evan Mobley * 29 3-6 0-1 1-2 12 2 1 1 7 - -
Lamar Stevens * 26 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 - -
Caris LeVert 23 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 22 3-10 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Isaac Okoro 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Kevin Love 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Mamadi Diakite 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter