Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 41 | 13-21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 40 | 6-19 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 39 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 3-17 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 36 | 9-23 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 24 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter