Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (130-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Payne * | 33 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 12-20 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 28 | 5-15 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 22 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 31 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 27 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter