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2022-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 67.0% 33.0% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (132-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 46 9-15 7-8 2-2 4 1 3 1 27 - -
P.J. Tucker * 42 1-2 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 39 3-8 3-8 0-0 8 6 2 0 9 - -
James Harden * 38 4-19 4-11 9-10 4 7 2 0 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 12-21 1-2 14-17 7 3 2 2 39 - -
Shake Milton 26 5-10 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 11 - -
Danuel House Jr. 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Paul Reed 16 2-4 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 3 6 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-4 1-3 0-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 44 9-20 0-7 9-10 4 7 1 0 27 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 43 7-17 4-8 6-8 6 3 1 1 24 - -
Eric Gordon * 40 4-10 3-8 3-4 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 39 3-8 3-6 7-9 11 0 0 1 16 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 4-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 8 - -
Tari Eason 20 7-11 2-3 2-2 6 0 3 1 18 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 19 5-7 1-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Bruno Fernando 16 2-5 0-1 2-4 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Daishen Nix 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Garrison Mathews 10 1-5 1-5 2-3 1 0 2 0 5 - -
Usman Garuba 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter