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2022-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 67.9% 32.1% -
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 39 9-22 1-6 3-4 8 8 0 0 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-24 5-10 4-5 12 3 1 1 31 - -
Marcus Smart * 38 7-14 4-8 0-2 3 7 2 0 18 - -
Blake Griffin * 32 5-6 0-1 3-5 8 2 1 0 13 - -
Derrick White * 27 2-6 1-3 4-4 4 5 1 1 9 - -
Grant Williams 32 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Luke Kornet 15 5-7 0-1 1-1 7 0 0 1 11 - -
Sam Hauser 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 41 6-14 1-5 0-0 5 0 3 1 13 - -
Scottie Barnes * 41 8-14 1-6 4-6 7 4 1 1 21 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 3-14 1-6 1-1 7 3 0 2 8 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 9-20 2-4 9-13 8 7 0 0 29 - -
Christian Koloko * 22 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 1 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 7-10 3-3 3-4 1 1 2 0 20 - -
Chris Boucher 16 3-6 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 2-6 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter