Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 10-22 | 0-3 | 15-15 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 18 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 10-21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 36 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin * | 30 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 22 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter