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2022-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 ✗ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 35 5-12 1-6 6-6 8 10 2 0 17 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 12-21 2-4 8-11 13 5 1 2 34 - -
Bobby Portis * 27 8-12 1-2 1-2 10 1 0 1 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 25 1-11 0-7 3-4 1 5 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Nwora * 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Jevon Carter 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 1 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 2-9 2-8 1-2 4 0 1 0 7 - -
George Hill 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
AJ Green 10 4-6 3-5 1-1 0 0 0 0 12 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 8-13 2-6 7-7 6 2 0 0 25 - -
Paolo Banchero * 32 4-16 0-3 12-15 12 7 1 1 20 - -
Markelle Fultz * 32 8-18 2-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 20 - -
Moritz Wagner * 31 7-10 0-2 5-5 12 4 1 0 19 - -
Bol Bol * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Terrence Ross 22 2-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Cole Anthony 21 0-9 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 1 8 - -
R.J. Hampton 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter