Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +16 (116-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 9-21 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 32 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter