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2022-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (110-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 37 4-10 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 1 12 10 -
Zach LaVine * 35 16-28 3-9 6-7 8 2 4 0 41 27 -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 6-18 0-0 6-6 6 4 0 0 18 10 -
Patrick Williams * 32 4-8 1-3 1-1 5 0 1 2 10 10 -
Alex Caruso * 29 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 2 0 8 -
Ayo Dosunmu 23 2-7 1-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 6 3 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 7 -
Coby White 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 6 -
Goran Dragic 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
Andre Drummond 5 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 6-10 3-6 2-2 6 0 1 0 17 14 -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 2-4 1-1 6-6 17 10 0 0 11 34 -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 5-14 2-7 4-4 7 4 2 0 16 15 -
Kevin Huerter * 31 5-18 1-11 1-2 0 3 1 0 12 -2 -
Keegan Murray * 23 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 11 9 -
Davion Mitchell 24 3-9 0-3 3-4 3 5 3 1 9 12 -
Malik Monk 24 8-16 3-9 1-1 2 5 2 0 20 13 -
KZ Okpala 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 7 -
Chimezie Metu 11 5-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 10 -

* = starter