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2022-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (112-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 12-23 3-7 6-8 5 10 1 0 33 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 7-20 5-10 3-3 5 5 2 0 22 - -
John Konchar * 31 4-6 1-3 2-3 5 0 4 0 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 7-13 2-4 6-7 3 0 0 1 22 - -
Brandon Clarke * 29 6-9 0-0 2-4 14 2 0 0 14 - -
David Roddy 24 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 20 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 18 2-4 1-1 1-2 4 1 2 2 6 - -
Santi Aldama 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 7 5 0 2 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 29 5-13 3-5 0-0 2 6 1 2 13 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Jaden Ivey * 27 2-9 1-5 5-6 6 3 3 0 10 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 24 4-8 2-4 8-8 1 1 1 0 18 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 20 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Saddiq Bey 33 7-16 1-6 9-12 6 7 0 0 24 - -
Cory Joseph 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Alec Burks 18 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Duren 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 - -
Hamidou Diallo 12 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Knox II 11 2-4 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter