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2022-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (37.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% -
Points Off/Def 70.1% 29.9% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -38 (95-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 27 7-16 1-3 5-5 0 8 0 0 20 - -
Mikal Bridges * 25 7-11 6-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 10-14 1-1 4-5 10 3 0 0 25 - -
Cameron Payne * 24 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 - -
Dario Saric * 21 6-8 4-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Ish Wainright 27 3-3 2-2 0-1 1 4 1 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie 26 4-12 0-4 1-2 11 6 3 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 23 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Jock Landale 14 4-6 1-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 12 - -
Landry Shamet 13 3-8 2-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Bismack Biyombo 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 32 11-23 1-5 4-6 5 2 1 0 27 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 30 5-6 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Devin Vassell * 30 5-12 2-6 2-2 5 4 0 0 14 - -
Tre Jones * 29 5-11 0-3 0-0 2 3 2 1 10 - -
Zach Collins * 17 1-7 0-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 4 - -
Malaki Branham 24 3-9 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 8 - -
Charles Bassey 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Isaiah Roby 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Alize Johnson 14 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Gorgui Dieng 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Romeo Langford 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter